Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destinybox office tracking looks disappointing. The film is set to be the fifth and final film for the Indiana Jones franchise (although fans have heard that before). The film is directed by James Mangold, known for his work withLoganandFord v. Ferrari, who will be stepping in to replace Steven Spielberg. Those are some pretty big shoes to fill.
Indiana Jones 5recently debuted at the Cannes film festival and was received poorly.The Dial of Destinycurrently has a 51% critics score on Rotten Tomatoes, much lower thanIndiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull, the previous film in the franchise, which has a certified fresh 77% critics score. AlthoughKingdom of the Crystal Skullstill has a much worse53% audience score.
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Kingdom of the Crystal Skull, which premiered 15 years ago in 2008, had a 3-day opening box office of $100.1 million.Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destinyis expected to make $60 million in its opening weekend, far below its predecessor. Tracking data shows that older men are much more excited about the film than younger men. This data makes it comparable to the final film ofDaniel Craig’s James Bond movies,No Time to Die($55.2M), and Tom Cruise’sMission: Impossible - Fallout($61.2M).
Some are more optimistic and believe thatIndiana Jones and the Dial of Destinycould make $70 million. However, the film shows about half of the tracking metrics thatJohn Wick: Chapter 4had, and that film opened to $73.8 million. On top of the bad reviews from the Cannes Film Festival, Disney has to contend withSpider-Man: Across the Spider-Verseand the upcoming Warner Bros. filmThe Flash, which opens on June 16. Disney will need to market more towards younger men if they want to increase their box office forIndiana Jones 5.
IfIndiana Jones and the Dial of Destinyopens with $60 million, it will still make it the second-best opening for anIndiana Jonesfilm. In 1981,Raiders of the Lost Arkopened to just $8.3 million. The 1984 sequel,The Temple of Doom, opened to a much improved $25.3 million. In 1989,Last Crusadeperformed slightly better than the previous film, with $29.3 million. IfIndiana Jones and the Dial of Destinycan perform even half as well as expected, it will still be the second-best opening for anIndiana Jonesfilm.
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destinywill be released in theaters on July 12, 2025.
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